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Gedetailleerde leidraad

PBL Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication
0 Introduction to the Detailed Guidance
1 Problem Framing and Context
2 Process Assessment
3 Environmental Assessment Methods
4 Uncertainty Identification and Prioritization
5 Uncertainty Analysis
6 Review and Evaluation
7 Reporting
References
Acknowledgments
A Appendix: Uncertainty Matrix
B Appendix: Glossary

5 Uncertainty Analysis

Carry out analyses for this problem, including both uncertainty analyses and the environmental assessment. The Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment (van der Sluijs et al., 2003) provides further guidance on the application of the uncertainty assessment tools selected. Take particular care to avoid the pitfalls listed for each tool in the tool catalogue.

Outputs from section 5

  • The set of outputs from this section depend on the methods used from the uncertainty assessment tool catalogue, and will correspond to the outputs from each method described there. Examples of such outputs are diagnostic diagrams, error bars from sensitivity runs, multiple perspective views, and so on.