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Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment
Introduction
1. Sensitivity analysis
2. Error propagation equation ("TIER 1")
3. Monte Carlo analysis ("TIER 2")
4. NUSAP
5. Expert elicitation for uncertainty quantification
6. Scenario analysis
7. PRIMA: A framework for perspective-based uncertainty management
8. Checklist for model quality assistance
9. A method for critical review of assumptions in model-based assessments

Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment

J.P. van der Sluijs, P.H.M. Janssen, A.C. Petersen, P. Kloprogge, J.S. Risbey, W. Tuinstra, J.R. Ravetz

© Copernicus Institute & RIVM; Utrecht/Bilthoven, 2004.

Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
Utrecht University
Padualaan 14
3584 CH Utrecht
The NetherlandsNetherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)
P.O. Box 1
3720 BA Bilthoven
The Netherlands

This report contains the Tool Catalogue of the PBL Guidance for Uncertainty.
Download the Tool Catalogue from nusap.net

Assessment and Communication. The Guidance has been developed under the direction of Peter Janssen (PBL) and Jeroen van der Sluijs (Utrecht University) as part of the strategic research project 'Uncertainty Analysis' (S/550002) at RIVM.

The PBL Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication Series contains the following volumes:

  1. Mini-Checklist & Quickscan Questionnaire, A. C. Petersen, P. H. M. Janssen, J. P. van der Sluijs et al., PBL, 2003
  2. Quickscan Hints & Actions List, P. H. M. Janssen, A. C. Petersen, J. P. van der Sluijs et al., PBL, 2003
  3. Detailed Guidance, J. P. van der Sluijs, J. S. Risbey et al., Utrecht University, 2003
  4. Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment, J.P. van der Sluijs, P.H.M. Janssen, A.C. Petersen, P. Kloprogge, J.S. Risbey, W. Tuinstra, J.R. Ravetz, 2004.

All four volumes are available online and can be downloaded from www.nusap.net

Title: PBL Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication: Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment (PBL Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication Series, Volume 4)

Authors: J.P. van der Sluijs, P.H.M. Janssen, A.C. Petersen, P. Kloprogge, J.S. Risbey, W. Tuinstra, J.R. Ravetz

© Utrecht University, Utrecht, 2004

Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
Department of Science Technology and Society
Utrecht University
Heidelberglaan 2
3584 CS Utrecht
The Netherlands