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Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment
Introduction
1. Sensitivity analysis
2. Error propagation equation ("TIER 1")
Description
Goals and use
Sorts and locations of uncertainty addressed
Required resources
Strengths and limitations
Guidance on application
Pitfalls
References
3. Monte Carlo analysis ("TIER 2")
4. NUSAP
5. Expert elicitation for uncertainty quantification
6. Scenario analysis
7. PRIMA: A framework for perspective-based uncertainty management
8. Checklist for model quality assistance
9. A method for critical review of assumptions in model-based assessments

Required resources

The error propagation equations require no specific hardware or software and can typically be applied on the back of the envelope or on an ordinary scientific calculator, or using a spreadsheet.

Most of the time will be consumed by quantifying the uncertainties in the parameters and inputs, which can be derived from statistics if available or otherwise can for instance be obtained by means of expert elicitation.