Toolcatalogus

1.	Sensitivity analysis

2.	Error propagation equation ("TIER 1")

3.	Monte Carlo analysis ("TIER 2")

5.	Expert elicitation for uncertainty quantification

6.	Scenario analysis

7.	PRIMA: A framework for perspective-based uncertainty management

8.	Checklist for model quality assistance

9.	A method for critical review of assumptions in model-based assessments

References

Handbooks:

EPA, Risk Assessment Forum, Guiding Principles for Monte Carlo Analysis, EPA/630/R-97/001, 1997.

M.G. Morgan and M. Henrion, Uncertainty, A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 1990.

Crystal Ball 2000, User Manual Decision Engineering Inc., Denver, 2000.

Palisade Corporation (2000): Guide to Using @RISK - Risk Analysis and Simulation Add-in for Microsoft Excel, Version 4, March 2000.

Andrea Saltelli, Karen Chan, Marian Scott, Sensitivity Analysis John Wiley & Sons publishers, Probability and Statistics series, 2000.

Andrea Saltelli, Stefano Tarantola, Francesca Campolongo, Marco Ratto, Sensitivity Analysis in Practice: A Guide to Assessing Scientific Models, John Wiley & Sons publishers, 2004

Vose D. (2000): Risk Analysis - A quantitative guide, 2nd edition. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Chichester.

Papers and reports

Burmaster, D.E., and Anderson, P.D.: Principles of Good Practice for the Use of Monte Carlo Techniques in Human Health and Ecological Risk Assessments, Risk Analysis, Vol. 14, No. 4, 1994.

IPCC, Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, IPCC, 2000.

P.H.M. Janssen, P.S.C. Heuberger, & R.A. Sanders. 1994. UNCSAM: a tool for automating sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. Environmental Software 9:1-11.