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Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment
Introduction
1. Sensitivity analysis
2. Error propagation equation ("TIER 1")
3. Monte Carlo analysis ("TIER 2")
4. NUSAP
5. Expert elicitation for uncertainty quantification
6. Scenario analysis
7. PRIMA: A framework for perspective-based uncertainty management
8. Checklist for model quality assistance
9. A method for critical review of assumptions in model-based assessments
Description
Goals and use
Sorts and locations of uncertainty addressed
Required resources
Stengths and limitations
Guidance on application
Pitfalls
References

References

The method:

Kloprogge, P., J.P. van der Sluijs, A. Petersen, 2004, A method for critical review of potentially value-laden assumptions in environmental assessments. Utrecht University, Department of Science, Technology and Society.

Experts:

  • PBL: Arthur Petersen, Peter Janssen
  • National: Penny Kloprogge, Jeroen van der Sluijs, Nelleke Honingh
  • International: Matthieu Craye